Roubini Sees AI Boom Offsetting Risks From Trump to Geopolitics

Jan. 13, 2026, 2:59 PM UTC

Even Nouriel Roubini is sounding bullish these days.

The economist — who rose to prominence for correctly predicting the 2008 financial crisis — is now betting that artificial intelligence will anchor a new era of US exceptionalism, lifting economic growth to as high as 4% by the end of the decade. Productivity is already accelerating and the gains from AI, he argues, could outweigh the combined drag of tariffs, fiscal risks and geopolitical shocks by a four-to-one ratio.

“Technology is first order,” Roubini said in an interview with Bloomberg Television Tuesday. “Everything else, including geopolitics, is second order.”

Nouriel Roubini, chairman at Roubini Macro Associates, discusses his bullish stance on the role of AI in driving US GDP and productivity and explains why he is downplaying geopolitical risks to markets. Source: Bloomberg

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