Global Growth Faces Durability Risks Into 2026, UN Agency Says

December 2, 2025, 5:30 PM UTC

World economic activity will remain “subdued” next year amid trade uncertainty and geopolitical tensions that are restraining investment outside of artificial intelligence and weighing on government finances, a UN agency predicted in a new report.

Global growth will weaken this year to 2.6% and maintain that pace in 2026, according to the report released Tuesday by the Geneva-based UN Conference on Trade and Development. After a 2.9% expansion last year, those projections if realized would be 0.4 percentage point lower than the pre-pandemic average.

“The global economy and trade have shown resilience during 2024 and 2025,” ...

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