Chinese Exports to Hit Record This Year Before Second Trump Term

Economists expect Chinese exports to reach a historical high this year as customers rush to front-load orders given President-elect Donald Trump’s threat of higher tariffs when he takes office in January.

Export growth will accelerate to 7% in the final three months from the same period last year, according to the median forecast of analysts surveyed by Bloomberg Nov. 15-21. That’s an upgrade from the 5% gain seen in October ahead of the US election and would push total exports this year to $3.548 trillion — above the previous record in 2022.

“In the next few months, Chinese exports ...