Canada Economy on Track for Tepid Growth in Third Quarter (2)

Oct. 31, 2025, 1:25 PM UTC

The Canadian economy appears to be on track to eke out growth between July and September, likely bouncing back from a second-quarter contraction but remaining weakened by US tariffs.

Industry-based gross domestic product expanded by 0.1% in September, according to a flash estimate from Statistics Canada on Friday. It shrank by 0.3% in August, coming in lower than the flat growth that was expected in a Bloomberg survey of economists.

Taken together, the data points to 0.4% annualized growth in the third quarter. The Bank of Canada estimates 0.5% growth over that period once the full expenditure-based data is released ...

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