Equity issues are surging to a record high and projected to stay strong for the rest of 2020 even as the pandemic upends traditional in-person marketing junkets.
The initial public offerings process-- not just how deals are getting done but also how they’re structured -- has adapted in ways that will change capital markets for years to come.
Instead of companies shuttling between cities and sometimes continents to meet investors, roadshows have gone virtual and are now often shortened to four to five days from seven to eight. Meanwhile, more informal test-the-waters meetings have lengthened and prospective investors are indicating their interest earlier.
“Investors are realizing the IPO roadshows are becoming more condensed from a time standpoint, which puts more importance on the testing the waters interactions with investors in advance of the IPO launch,” said
While these meetings are similar to a formal roadshow, no official orders for shares are taken. The
Their purpose can also be to find potential cornerstone or anchor investors to secure commitments before formal book building starts. That can smooth the first few months of trading, allocating more stock to large investors who are less likely to sell right away.
Commitments can take the form of an anchor investment, which is a large order in the IPO, for investors who want to avoid triggering an immediate regulatory disclosure.
Most listings now attract significant indications of interest from investors before the deal launch, said
Debut Pops
Anchor deals have helped bring back the feted IPO pop, when a company’s shares skyrocket from the offering price on their debut.
All but eight of the 37 U.S. IPOs that raised at least $100 million since mid-March saw their shares jump by at least double-digits from their offer prices after the first day of trading. Only one major listing, private equity-backed supermarket chain
On Tuesday, bank software provider
Despite steep drops in March when the U.S. locked down, the Nasdaq Composite Index and S&P 500 are now both hovering around their all-time highs. As the equity markets roared back, equity issuance in the second quarter exceeded $130 billion, the most active on record. That compared to $41 billion in volume in the first quarter.
In June, new listings, including those by blank-check firms, and follow-on offerings raised a combined $67 billion.
Record follow-on trades were led by
Look Ahead
Despite a presidential election looming, it could be an unusually busy third quarter.
“If the market remains healthy and strong, more people will try in September as an opportunity in front of the election,” said
Other areas that should remain hot are IPOs by biotechnology firms and blank-check companies. Jordan Saxe, Nasdaq’s head of health-care listings, expects about 45 to 50 biotech listings this year, raising over $9 billion combined. Saxe had earlier forecasted
For blank-check deals, the largest one on-record is close to pricing within days. It’s the special purpose acquisition company, or SPAC, backed by billionaire investor
SPACs used to be viewed as an IPO last resort, which isn’t the case anymore, said Barbara Ard, who leads accounting and transactions services at
While bankers trickle back into some offices in New York and other U.S. finance centers, some plans are being postponed while Covid-19 cases surge in certain states. But that’s unlikely to hurt activity, advisers said, as they have had several months to adapt to the new way of getting deals done.
“An IPO can be done virtually,” said
(Updates with nCino closing price in 12th paragraph)
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