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Chaotic Prediction Markets Need to Be Reined In: Editorial

The old adage about ducks — if it looks, swims and quacks like one, it probably is one — seems to be escaping US regulators, who have so far accepted the claim by some gambling companies that they are not actually gambling companies. Congress ought to act before this artifice does further damage.

Iran War Wagers Are Ghoulish — and Troubling: Paul J. Davies

As bad behavior in finance goes, the idea of insiders betting on the US and Israel attacking Iran is about as appalling as it gets. Cashing in on death and destruction across the Middle East — or anywhere else — would be despicable. But beyond the moral dimension, there’s also the issue of national security: Given that handing such information to an enemy would be an act of treason, should risking intelligence leaks through price signals be seen as any less traitorous?

Trump Escalates Confrontation With Banks Over Crypto Agenda

President Donald Trump warned banks against weakening his cryptocurrency agenda and pushed for passage of a market-structure bill known as the Clarity Act, escalating a confrontation with the financial industry over legislation that would reshape how digital assets are regulated in the US.

Matt Levine’s Money Stuff: Everyone Wants a Pension

The basic situation is that people work for about 40 years, during which they earn more money than they spend, and then they retire and don’t work for about 30 years, during which they spend more money than they earn. That’s a very broad statement, you could quibble with the numbers, and it is certainly not true of everyone: Some people retire early, some retire late, some die young, some live a long time, etc. But as a rough statistical average, most people get some decades of saving in the workforce and then some decades of spending in retirement.

Kalshi, Polymarket Diverge on Handling of Iran War Predictions

A few weeks ago, traders on the two major prediction market platforms, Kalshi Inc. and Polymarket, were furiously debating whether Cardi B’s dancing onstage at the Super Bowl constituted a “performance.” (Polymarket determined her appearance did qualify as a performance; Kalshi punted on the question and essentially gave out refunds.) Now the sites’ traders—and some outside observers—are up in arms over the markets that allowed users to bet on Iran’s future. Another day, another moral, legal and philosophical minefield for these businesses.

Tax Your Crypto and NFTs? Yes, the IRS Wants Its Cut

Cryptocurrency and NFTs continue to rise in popularity in the U.S., but many people are still confused about how they are taxed. In this video, a partner at Steptoe & Johnson who specializes in tax policy and cryptocurrency, lays out how different crypto transactions are taxed.

Accountants Take Center Stage in Trump, FTX Trials (Podcast)

From Across Bloomberg Law

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