DISTRESS WATCH: Troubled Debt Tally Declines to Six-Month Low

Sept. 16, 2025, 9:00 AM UTC

Bets that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates for the first time this year, supporting a cooling economy, helped to shrink the global distressed debt pile to the smallest since March.

Traders are now fully pricing a rate cut on Wednesday and a three-in-four chance of two more by year end. That would help lower borrowing costs across the board and come as a relief to weaker and troubled companies in particular.

“Fed cuts are typically bullish unless the economy is already in a downturn,” BNP Paribas strategists including Viktor Hjort wrote in a report. While the latest US ...

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