Default Risk for US Listed Companies Cools in 2Q, Moody’s Says

Aug. 7, 2025, 9:59 PM UTC

Default risks for public companies in the US dropped in the second quarter as they adjusted to concerns and uncertainty around tariffs, according to a report from Moody’s asset management research team.

  • The one-year average probability of default of US listed companies dropped to 8.8% in the quarter, from a spike of 9.8% in April, Moody’s wrote in a Thursday report
  • “Markets seem to have become inured to shocks it regards as transient,” according to the report
  • However, Moody’s data showed the number of high-yield companies flagged as high or severe risk as of July has almost doubled from the ...

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