Fed Officials Say AI Productivity Boost Could Raise Neutral Rate

Feb. 17, 2026, 10:06 PM UTC

Some Federal Reserve officials have begun suggesting in recent days that productivity growth from artificial intelligence could mean higher interest rates, a view that would put them at odds with the Trump administration and its nominee to lead the US central bank.

“I expect that the AI boom is unlikely to be a reason for lowering policy rates,” Fed Governor Michael Barr said Tuesday in remarks prepared for a speech in New York.

Barr’s comments followed remarks from Fed Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, who argued in a Feb. 6 speech that “all other things being equal, persistent increases in ...

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