- Hedge fund veteran inherits trajectory of wide fiscal deficits
- Bessent faces immediate challenge in debt management
The US Senate confirmed
The former hedge fund manager won confirmation by a vote of 68 to 29 Monday. Besides the support of all Republican senators, Bessent secured the backing of one independent and 15 Democrats, in a sign the minority party might be more willing to cooperate with the administration on certain economic matters than during Trump’s first term. Trump’s first Treasury chief,
Bessent becomes Trump’s fifth cabinet pick to get confirmed, highlighting the importance lawmakers place on quickly having someone at the Treasury’s helm — and reflecting Bessent’s relatively drama-free confirmation hearing.
He will be the first openly gay Treasury secretary. He said during his confirmation hearing that this was his third attempt at public service, after his sexual orientation precluded him from attending the US Naval Academy and from joining the Foreign Service.
Once sworn in, the 62-year-old former colleague of billionaire
It’s been three decades since bond vigilantes bullied a sitting administration into curbing the nation’s fiscal trajectory.
With benchmark 10-year Treasury yields threatening to test the 5% level — thanks in part to the fiscal outlook — Bessent’s expertise in financial markets is seen as a particular asset, amid potential disruption from everything from tariff surprises and tax plans to shifts in monetary policy. Even his Democratic predecessor,
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Fiscal Outlook
Bessent in his Jan. 16 confirmation hearing underscored his concern about the size of federal borrowing being of such a scale it could potentially constrain the federal government’s response to future crises. “We have never seen this before,” he said of the current deficit being in excess of 6% of GDP despite the US not being in a recession or at war.
His fiscal warning was an echo of similar comments dating from Treasury chiefs in the
The incoming Treasury chief will have to reconcile his deficit-reduction plans — he has targeted shrinking it to 3% of GDP — with the Trump administration’s much-anticipated tax cuts, which some economists caution may only worsen the fiscal outlook. Bessent has argued that the problem is spending, not taxation levels, and that Trump’s pro-growth agenda will improve the fiscal situation, alongside revenue streams from measures including tariffs.
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“A whole-of-government approach that couples deregulation with tax reform and other economic levers, such as implementing strong trade policy, will unleash an economic golden age,” Bessent said at his Senate Finance Committee hearing.
Taxation largely dominated that session, with some Democrats voicing their opposition.
“Now it may not come as any big surprise that a hedge fund manager would defend an unfair tax system that’s rigged to benefit hedge fund managers,” said
Sanctions, Dollar
Away from the domestic front, Bessent will also need to quickly get up to speed with the Treasury’s raft of sanctions against adversaries across the world and prepare for his first international engagements as the nation’s top economic diplomat. A meeting of Group of Twenty finance ministers due in South Africa in late February could offer a first chance to meet with counterparts from the world’s largest economies.
Bessent suggested he could go harder on
Bessent also said that the US could “make Iran poor again” through the use of sanctions, later clarifying that he meant the Iranian government and not its people. But levying and enforcing harsh sanctions on two major oil-producing countries without a boost in production from other nations could constrain the supply of oil and drive prices up.
Currency policy and foreign-exchange markets are seen looming large on Bessent’s agenda. In Trump’s press statement announcing Bessent’s nomination, the president highlighted the importance of the US maintaining the dollar’s role as the world’s reserve asset.
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During appearances as a Trump advocate before the November election, Bessent was vocal about the need for a new international currency accord. With the pendulum of tariff threats swinging almost hour-by-hour, exchange rates are moving on any snippet of news.
That volatility would have been a trading opportunity in Bessent’s former life as a hedge-fund trader. But he’ll have a new vantage point once sworn in as Treasury chief.
(Updates with details in fourth paragraph)
--With assistance from
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Christopher Anstey, Magan Crane
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